Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 2.940118 3.267774 3.622081 4.034520 4.502481 5.018146 5.631032
2025-03-16 2.418568 2.849795 3.348807 3.972103 4.734161 5.641093 6.810398
2025-03-23 2.182777 2.688085 3.303843 4.116203 5.169795 6.503816 8.342729
2025-03-30 1.951519 2.487568 3.167867 4.105355 5.380619 7.079477 9.555714
2025-04-06 1.763989 2.314204 3.036720 4.069944 5.534243 7.573130 10.695141
2025-04-13 1.552162 2.084046 2.802030 3.860284 5.411596 7.652712 11.230112
2025-04-20 1.444883 1.984430 2.732746 3.869191 5.592269 8.175705 12.478174
2025-04-27 1.373733 1.927539 2.715632 3.947247 5.876429 8.875510 14.083516
2025-05-04 1.310343 1.875271 2.698561 4.020024 6.154355 9.588419 15.796219
2025-05-11 1.246462 1.816327 2.665136 4.061591 6.382277 10.238628 17.480589
2025-05-18 1.186573 1.758264 2.627286 4.090459 6.588388 10.868795 19.207281
2025-05-25 1.100293 1.653067 2.507566 3.974218 6.535118 11.038519 20.089223
2025-06-01 1.034426 1.577006 2.430858 3.926831 6.602959 11.442779 21.506612
2025-06-08 0.974058 1.505782 2.356931 3.877863 6.663004 11.839156 22.968181
2025-06-15 0.955564 1.501109 2.391777 4.020294 7.085296 12.967938 26.130464
2025-06-22 0.910810 1.449726 2.343926 4.010178 7.218398 13.544079 28.183112
2025-06-29 0.865657 1.394698 2.285782 3.975801 7.299928 14.022877 30.088513
2025-07-06 0.796413 1.294463 2.142523 3.771751 7.026697 13.733995 30.147977
2025-07-13 0.766100 1.259878 2.112981 3.780424 7.182564 14.373282 32.551667
2025-07-20 0.747995 1.245499 2.118436 3.856403 7.483543 15.363146 36.002815
2025-07-27 0.730159 1.230425 2.121394 3.927237 7.780001 16.378203 39.706099
2025-08-03 0.709176 1.208379 2.109850 3.967691 8.014193 17.277403 43.266197
2025-08-10 0.687834 1.184416 2.093060 3.995786 8.223267 18.141980 46.895758